Arizona

Arizona is one of just a handful of pickup opportunities for Democrats where a win would bolster their chances of taking back the Senate. Two members of Congress are fighting hard for the seat opened up by Republican Jeff Flake's retirement. Reps. Kyrsten Sinema (D) and Martha McSally (R), who made history as the Air Force's first woman to fly in combat, are facing off in one of the most competitive Senate races of the year. President Trump's health care and immigration policies have emboldened both sides to vote in the Grand Canyon State, where he won by only 4 points in 2016. In addition to the Senate race, Gov. Doug Ducey (R) is seeking his second term against university professor David Garcia in a race where education has become a central issue. The unexpectedly tight margin in the 8th House District special election in April — a district Trump won by more than 20 points — has Democrats seeing an opening for the party. Three of the five GOP congressional races are considered competitive, including McSally's Tucson-area district, which Hillary Clinton won by 5 points.