It’s been a wild couple of weeks for investors. Deciding whether to remain calm or freak out about the new normal of thousand-point selloffs isn’t easy.
Stocks are inching closer to bear market territory, having dropped nearly 20% from their record highs in February as the market tries to price in the risk of the global coronavirus outbreak. Sandwiched between the bad days have been sharp rebound rallies that included the Dow’s best three days in history in terms of points gained.
So what gives?
If market strategists can agree on anything in these volatile times, it’s not to panic.
Since the start of the year, the S&P 500 has fallen more than 14%. But last year’s rally boosted the index nearly 29%. So on balance, it’s still up versus 2019.
Coronavirus, as scary as it might be for the economy, is also only a temporary factor.
At the same time, risks to America’s longest economic expansion in history are growing.
It will take a few more weeks before economic data points for the first three months of the year begin to trickle in, finally giving investors a look at the initial impact from the coronavirus outbreak.
But with cases increasing in the United States, second-quarter economic growth could also be at risk. Some forecast negative GDP growth between April and June. No matter if it’s negative or just slowing growth, though, the virus outbreak is expected to deal a hit to full-year GDP growth.
Read more about whether you should worry about the stock selloffs here.