Live updates: First Fed rate cut since Covid | CNN Business

Jumbo-sized rate cut: Fed slashes rates by a half percentage point

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. The Federal Reserve announced today that they will cut the central bank’s benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to a new range of 4.75%-5%.
Hear Jerome Powell explain decision to slash interest rates
01:24 - Source: CNN

What we covered here

  • In a significant shift for the US economy, the Federal Reserve announced a jumbo-sized rate cut Wednesday, its first rate reduction cut since Covid.
  • It’s a major economic milestone both for the central bank’s long fight with inflation and for Americans battling a higher cost of living for the past two years.
  • Unusually, Wall Street had been divided on whether the Fed would introduce a typical quarter-point cut or the supersized half-point cut. 
  • In a press conference following the announcement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the half-point pace did not represent any new pattern for the central bank but that Fed officials want to keep the economy, and especially the labor market, in good shape.
  • Markets surged in response to the central bank’s announcement, but all three major indexes had moved into the red by the closing bell.
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Our live coverage has ended. Read the takeaways here or read through the posts below.

Trump says Fed is "playing politics" after rate cut move

Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event in Flint, Michigan, on September 17. 

Former President Donald Trump suggested Wednesday the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by half a point could be politically motivated.

When asked during a campaign stop in New York City for his reaction to the interest rate cut, Trump said it reflects either “the economy is very bad” or the Fed is “playing politics” with how it sets interest rates. 

“I guess it shows the economy is very bad to cut it by that much, assuming they’re not just playing politics. The economy would be very bad or they’re playing politics, one or the other. But it was a big cut,” Trump said. 

While the timing of the cut could seem like the Fed is assisting Vice President Kamala Harris’ bid for the White House by easing the financial burdens Americans are currently shouldering right before they cast their votes, the central bank makes its decisions irrespective of the political calendar.

“We never use our tools to support or oppose a political party, a politician, or any political outcome,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters in July, following the central bank’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged.

Even Kevin Hassett, who served as Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers when Trump was president, said in a PBS News interview last week, “There’s been a whole bunch of bad data coming out and I think that a prudent Fed would start to risk manage by cutting rates now.”

“It’s unfortunate that it’s before an election because of the appearance of partisanship,” said Hassett, who has been floated as Trump’s potential pick for Fed chair if he wins the election.

He previously said it would be a “big mistake” for the Fed to cut before the election but said that he’s since changed his views on that because of the worsening economic conditions.

Kamala Harris praises Federal Reserve rate cut as “welcome news”

Vice President Kamala Harris delivers remarks at the Congressional Hispanic Caucus Institute's 47th Annual Leadership Conference on Wednesday, September 18, in Washington, D.C.

Vice President Kamala Harris said the rate cut announced by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday is “welcome news,” adding her focus is on keeping prices down.

Harris touted her economic proposal, which includes plans to cut taxes for more than 100 million working and middle-class Americans, affordable housing and the first-ever federal ban on corporate price gouging on food and groceries. 

Harris described her agenda as “the opposite of what Donald Trump would do as President,” before blasting him over his economic plans. 

“I know prices are still too high for many middle-class and working families, and my top priority as President will be to lower the costs of everyday needs like health care, housing, and groceries,” she said in the statement.

Here's where the interest rate stands

How to make the Fed rate cut work for you

If the Fed continues to cut interest rates over the next year, that will push other interest rates down and save you money on your borrowing costs and reduce what you can earn on your savings.

The Federal Reserve’s half-point rate cut will result in lower interest rates on various consumer financial products and interest-bearing accounts. But don’t expect Wednesday’s single cut — or even another moderate cut or two this year — to necessarily drastically alter your financial life in every way.

For borrowers, “rates are not going to fall fast enough to bail you out of a bad situation,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

“And for savers, these rate cuts won’t erase the benefit you got from rising rates in 2022 and 2023. Savers with competitive high-yielding accounts will still be way ahead of the game.”

Read more here for a more specific look at how the Fed’s rate cutting will affect your credit cards, car loans, home loans, high-yield savings accounts, certificates of deposits and other financial accounts.

House Speaker Mike Johnson calls timing of Fed's rate cut "a little suspect," while AOC says it was "long overdue"

(L-R:) Speaker of the House Mike Johnson; Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at the US Capitol in September.

Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson and Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez don’t tend to agree on much, but both were pleased with the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut rates by a jumbo half point.

The lower rates “helps us structurally,” Ocasio-Cortez told CNN’s Haley Talbot on Capital Hill Wednesday afternoon, shortly after the Fed announced its decision. “We need to finance very large infrastructure projects, from housing to roads and bridges. This is going to help with all of that.”

The rate cut, she added, “is long overdue.”

Meanwhile, Johnson told Talbot, “It’s welcome news for consumers.” However, he questioned the timing of it, saying it’s “a little suspect.”

“Right on the eve of an election? I don’t know. Count me as curious about it,” Johnson said.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters Wednesday that the election in two months was not given any consideration in central bankers’ discussions. “We’re not serving any politician, any political figure, any cause, any issue, nothing,” Powell said. “It’s just maximum employment and price stability on behalf of all Americans,” he added, referring to the Fed’s Congressional mandate.

Stocks end turbulent session lower after Fed cuts rates by half a point

A trader works on the trading floor at The New York Stock Exchange following the Federal Reserve rate announcement today.

Stocks ended a bumpy trading session lower as Wall Street continued to review the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision and projections about the economy.

The Dow fell 103 points, or 0.3%, after jumping more than 300 points earlier in the day. The S&P 500 declined 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3%.

Elsewhere, gold futures reached a fresh record high before retreating to settle at $2,570.70 a troy ounce.

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut interest rates by a jumbo half-point, marking its first rate cut since March 2020. While stocks initially jumped on the news, the trading session became volatile as investors worried that the large cut signals that the central bank is concerned that the US economy will weaken further.

Powell said at his post-meeting press conference that he believes the labor market remains healthy, and that the Fed cut rates by half a point to stay ahead of potential further weakness. He added that the Fed is not yet satisfied with the cooldown in inflation.

A risk of lowering rates is that as pressure eases off companies and consumers, inflation could rev up again. But on the other side, waiting too long to lower rates or doing so too slowly could help spur an economic downturn.

The Fed said it expects the unemployment rate to rise to 4.4% and remain at that level in its economic projections.

Traders expect the Fed to cut rates again at its November and December policy meetings, though they are divided on the size of the cuts, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Powell said Wednesday that investors shouldn’t expect half-point cuts to be the central bank’s pace.

As stocks settle after the trading day, levels might change slightly.

Biden calls rate cut an "important moment"

President Joe Biden in the Oval Office at the White House on Tuesday, September 17.

President Joe Biden said Wednesday the combination of falling inflation and interest rates amount to an “important moment” in the post-Covid economic recovery.

“We just reached an important moment: Inflation and interest rates are falling while the economy remains strong,” Biden wrote on X shortly after the Federal Reserve slashed rates by half a percentage point. 

“The critics said it couldn’t happen – but our policies are lowering costs and creating jobs,” Biden wrote. “I’ll speak tomorrow about what this means for Americans.”

Biden is due to address the Economic Club of Washington on Thursday. 

Powell got asked about the "neutral" and "natural" interest rate. Here's what those terms mean

US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell during a press conference in Washington, DC, today.

During Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference Wednesday, he spoke about two lesser-known kinds of interest rates: neutral and natural.

“Neutral” and “natural” rates of interest are often used interchangeably, but they refer to the same concept.

The term dates back to 1898 when Swedish economist Knut Wicksell wrote: “There is a certain rate of interest on loans which is neutral in respect to commodity prices and tends neither to raise nor to lower them.”

In other words, there’s a Goldilocks interest rate out there. One that isn’t so low that it ushers in inflation, yet not so high that it tips the economy into a recession. In theory, that perfect rate exists in the real world. And it’s likely the missing puzzle piece needed for the Fed to achieve a soft landing, where inflation is tamed but a recession is avoided.

But, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell pointed out Wednesday, it’s really difficult to uncover in practice.

It feels “significantly higher” than it was before the pandemic, he said. “How high is it? I just don’t think we know.”

Fed officials generally agree with Powell’s assessment that the natural interest rate has risen over the last five years. And on Wednesday they raised through forecast a touch higher to 2.9% from 2.8% in June, according to new median projections included in the Fed’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections. That longer-term rate is lower than the central bank’s current target for interest rates of 4.75% to 5%.

The Fed's still not declaring victory

A statue of an eagle is seen on the Federal Reserve building on September 17 in Washington, DC.

Inflation remains within striking distance of the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, and although the unemployment rate has risen a good deal this year, a recession has been avoided and doesn’t appear to be brewing, either.

So the Fed cutting rates today certainly sounds like officials took a victory lap. But Fed Chair Jerome Powell sought to make it abundantly clear that they didn’t.

“We’re not really at 2%,” Powell said Wednesday, referring to the nation’s inflation rate. “We’re certainly not saying mission accomplished or anything like that,” he said, adding that “we’re encouraged by the progress we have made.”

Did the Fed succumb to market pressure?

Last week, traders were pricing in an 86% chance the Federal Reserve would cut rates Wednesday by a quarter point. But by Monday, the majority of traders instead predicted the Fed would cut by a half point, which is what it did in the end.

But it begs the question: Did Fed officials give in to market pressure?

Asked if market expectations played any role in the Fed’s decision, Chair Jerome Powell gave a terse response, simply saying, “We’re always going to try to do what we think is the right thing for the economy at that time… And that’s what we did today.”

Stocks struggle to find footing Wednesday afternoon

A trader works on the trading floor at The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) following the Federal Reserve rate announcement, in New York City today.

Stocks struggled to find direction Wednesday afternoon as investors mulled over Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the labor market.

The Dow lost 22 points, or 0.05%. The S&P 500 rose 0.03% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.2%.

Why the Fed isn't taking advice from the president

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference today following the Fed’s decision to cut rates by half a point.

Former President Donald Trump said if reelected, he would try to exert direct power over the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. He later backed off from that statement.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said at a press conference Wednesday that the Fed will remain independent from political influence to ensure it can make the best decisions for the economy — even when they’re politically unpopular.

“Democracies around the world, countries that are like the United States, have independent central banks. And the reason is that people have found over time that insulating the central bank from direct control by political authorities avoids making monetary policy in a way that favors, maybe, people in office as opposed to people who are not in office,” Powell said.

“We do our work to serve all Americans. We’re not serving any politician, any political figure, any cause, any issue, nothing. It’s just maximum employment and price stability on behalf of all Americans.”

Powell said he strongly believes that independence will continue.

Housing inflation remains sticky, Powell says

Residential housing is seen in the suburban area of northwest Reno, Nevada, on May 8.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged Wednesday that while inflation has cooled across the economy, there’s one sector that has remained stubbornly hot: housing.  

“Housing inflation is the one piece that is kind of dragging a bit … It’s been slower than we expected,” he said during the Fed’s post-meeting press conference. 

But he expressed confidence that the problems of high rent and home prices will come down with time.

Asked about concerns that cutting rates could reignite demand and push prices higher, Powell noted the biggest problem with housing is something the Fed can’t control: the supply of available homes.

“Where are we going to get the supply? This is not something the Fed can really fix, but I think as we normalize rates, you will see the … housing cycle normalized.”

Stocks fall Wednesday afternoon

Stocks turned lower again Wednesday mid-afternoon, continuing the session’s volatile session as investors listened to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments about the labor market.

The Dow fell 28 points, or 0.07% The S&P 500 declined 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2%.

Powell stated that he believes the job market remains healthy and that the Fed’s half-point cut is a reflection of the central bank’s commitment to stay ahead of any worrying softness. But some investors have taken the large magnitude of the rate cut as a sign that the Fed is concerned about further weakening.

Powell on suggestion of election influence: "Our job is to support the economy"

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building today.

Some pundits have expressed concern that the Fed’s decision to cut rates so close to a presidential election is equivalent to placing its thumb on the scale. But Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pooh-poohed that idea.

“This is my fourth presidential election at the Fed, and it’s always the same,” Powell said at a press conference Wednesday. “We’re always going into this meeting in particular and asking what’s the right thing to do for the people we serve. … It is never about anything else Powell said politics is never discussed at Fed meetings. And it takes time for the effects of Fed rate actions to spread through the economy so a rate cut in September may not make much of a difference to the US economy by the November 5 election.

“Our job is to support the economy on behalf of the American people,” Powell said. “We don’t put up any other filters. I think if you start doing that, I don’t know where you stop. So we just don’t do that.”

Is this a return to the "easy money" era?

If you’re thinking the money printer at the Federal Reserve is about to start going brrrr again and borrowing costs are going to go back to the near-zero levels seen during the pandemic, you may be setting yourself up to be let down.

That’s according to Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who said Wednesday that “my own sense is that we’re not going back to that.”

But Powell didn’t rule it out entirely. “Honestly, we’ll find out,” he told reporters.

What a half-point cut means for housing, according to experts

A housing development in Middlesex, PA, is shown on March 29.

Here’s how housing economists and other experts are reacting to the Fed’s decision to cut interest rates by a half percentage point and its impact on mortgage rates:

  • “Any further decline in mortgage rates will be minimal… Due to the already low mortgage rates compared to spring, the purchasing power for home buyers has been lifted by around $50,000 for those with a $2,000 monthly mortgage payment budget. Consumers who were priced out due to earlier higher mortgage rates could now be back in the market,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.
  • “Rates have already come down significantly, and more buyers are starting to take advantage. By next year, I expect even more buyers to see that rates have come down and decide that it’s a good time to buy, or at least a better time than it has been the last couple of years. Some homeowners may decide it’s a good time to sell and buy again, as well, which would result in more home sales,” said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin.
  • “The rate cut may unlock a stagnant housing supply. Currently, over 76% of mortgage holders have rates below 5%, with 57% enjoying rates under 4%. These “locked-in” homeowners have not been able to afford to sell their homes because of the cost of a new mortgage. As rates move down, more of them will be able to justify selling their homes,” said David M. Dworkin, CEO at the National Housing Conference.
  • “A 50 basis point decrease in the federal funds rate is probably going to be beneficial to one of the most interest rate sensible sectors of the US economy, the housing market… This is positive for the US housing market as mortgage lending is expected to improve going forward,” said Eugenio Aleman, chief economist at Raymond James.

Powell: Don't get used to jumbo-sized rate cuts

Half-point rate cuts aren’t going to be the new normal, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told reporters on Wednesday following the central bank’s decision to cut rates by an usually large half point.

“I do not think that anyone should look at that and say, ‘This is the new pace,’” Powell said, referring to the future size of cuts the Fed may put forth.

Powell tries to reassure about "solid" jobs and the economy

US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference in Washington, DC, today.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell knows that plenty of people who can influence public sentiment — investors, the press and economists — are glued to his press conference Wednesday, paying attention to every single word he says.

So, when he started talking about the Fed’s focus on the unemployment rate as one reason the Fed cut rates aggressively, he followed up that statement with a reassurance that the job market is fine.

“The labor market is in solid condition, and our intention with our policy move today is to keep it there,” Powell said. “You can say that about the whole economy: The US economy is in good shape. It’s growing at a solid pace, inflation is coming down. The labor market is at a strong pace. We want to keep it there. That’s what we’re doing.”

Powell, however, also noted that the labor market is weakening and hiring is slowing, both of which “bear watching.” His explanation: America has reached “maximum employment.” That’s economics speak for: “There aren’t many more people left to hire.”

In its economic outlook, the Fed expected the unemployment rate to rise to 4.4% but remain at that level.