Taiwan election explained: A visual guide to the presidential election and China’s relationship with the island | CNN
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A visual guide to Taiwan’s high-stakes presidential election
CNN
—
Voters will head to the polls in Taiwan on January 13 to elect a new president and parliamentamid increasing tensions between the self-governingisland and China, which has ramped up its military presence in the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea in recent years.
Taiwanese voters will choose a new leader to succeed Tsai Ing-wen, Taiwan’s first female president who is finishing her second term after winning elections in 2016 and 2020. Tsai is a member of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), which is loathed by China’s Communist leaders because it views Taiwan as a sovereign nation – instead of being part of China as claimed by Beijing. She cannot run again due to term limits.
The candidates
Voters will be choosing their president from three candidates. A fourth potential contender, billionaire Terry Gou, the founder of Apple’s major supplier Foxconn, withdrew hours before the deadline to formally register as a candidate.
The opposition comprises Kuomintang (KMT), the Chinese nationalist party that fled to Taiwan in 1949 after losing a civil war and ruled the island with an iron fist for almost 40 years, and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), a centrist alternative party founded only in 2019. They failed to join forces to run against the ruling DPP after their leaders quarreled on live television and ended up registering separate presidential bids.
Past elections
After shaking off decades of KMT-imposed martial law, Taiwan held its first direct presidential election in 1996. Since then, only candidates from the two major parties – the KMT and the DPP – have captured the presidency.
Taiwan’s presidential elections are won by simple majority of votes and take place every four years. The presidency has a two-term limit.
On Saturday, citizens will choose their president for the eighth time in a three-way race without a clear favorite.
Taiwanese election base
Nearly 20 million people in Taiwan are eligible to cast their ballots in the presidential election across almost 18,000 voting stations. Around 1 million will be first-time voters.
The issue of identity – tied to Taipei’s tense relationship with Beijing – has been one of the most significant political divisions on the island, and studies show it was closely linked to voting patterns in previous elections.
China’s ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) views Taiwan as part of its territory, despite having never controlled it. The CCP has long vowed to “reunify” the island with the Chinese mainland, by force if necessary.
Since 1992,the National Chengchi University’s Election Study Center conducted polls asking adult residents about their national identity. Over the past decade, a growing majority of respondents have identified solely as Taiwanese.
Timeline of political tensions across the Taiwan Strait
1945
After the end of World War II, Imperial Japan – whose reign over the island began in 1895 – hands Taiwan to the government of the Republic of China, which had control over mainland China at the time.
1949
Chiang Kai-shek and his Kuomintang forces flee to Taiwan after losing the Chinese Civil War to Mao Zedong’s Communist Party. The KMT impose martial law on Taiwan, ushering in nearly 40 years of authoritarian rule.
The deaths of Chiang Kai-shek (1975) and Mao Zedong (1976) pave the way for thawing cross-strait relations. The KMT shifts towards opening dialogue with the Communist regime in Beijing.
Bettmann/Getty Images
1987-1991
Martial law is lifted in 1987 as the KMT begins slow transition towards democracy. Taiwan ends state of war with China four years later.
1996
China tests missiles off Taiwan to intimidate voters in the island’s first direct presidential election. The KMT, led by President Lee Teng-hui, wins the race.
Stringer/AFP/Getty Images
2000
The KMT loses power after more than 50 years. The DPP, founded by KMT opponents during the martial law era to promote a distinct Taiwanese identity, wins the presidency for the first time.
2008
The KMT wins the presidency back. Dialogues between Taipei and Beijing resume and a period of warmer cross-strait ties ensues.
Maurice Tsai/Bloomberg/Getty Images
2014
Student-led protesters occupy parliament to oppose a controversial trade pact between Taiwan and China, with their activism becoming known as the Sunflower Movement.
2015
Chinese leader Xi Jinping and Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou hold a historic summit in Singapore, marking the first time since 1949 the leaders of China and Taiwan meet face to face.
The Asahi Shimbun/Getty Images
2016
Opposition candidate Tsai Ing-wen, from the DPP, wins Taiwan’s presidential election. China cuts most communications with Taipei and begins ramping up economic, diplomatic and military pressure over the island.
Sources: Center for Strategic and International Studies; Council on Foreign Relations; Taiwan government; Britannica; Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; China Perspectives; Democratic Progressive Party; Mainland Affairs Council, Republic of China (Taiwan); US Department of State; American Enterprise Institute